Barbara D. Livingston
|3/13||SA||San Felipe GII||Chart||1 1/16 miles||6th||84|
|4/03||HAW||Illinois Derby||Chart||1 1/8 miles||5th||72|
Strengths: Umm, well…He won his maiden decently in Southern California, but that was last summer. On synthetic. Sprinting. His closing second early this year in the Lewis, a route, was not bad. But Caracortado was in front of him, American Lion just behind, and neither has moved to the head of this class. Has been well bet throughout career, and fetched $310,000 at a 2-year-old auction despite not having a strong immediate family, both facts suggesting he is an impressive work horse. Is it possible he has yet to translate morning flash to afternoon cash? The barn is aces.
Weaknesses: Still eligible for an entry-level allowance. Has done little to suggest he is among the best horses of his generation, worthy of classic consideration. His lone start on dirt produced the worst performance of his career.
Strategy: Has come from off the pace in all his races, and figures to sit mid-pack going 12 furlongs.
Value: Not much that I can see. Going strictly by his on-paper form, he should be 100-1, but is unlikely to go postward at more than 30-1 off a 20-1 morning line, and with Borel named to ride.
Sire: The versatile Dixie Union was a Grade 1 winner going seven furlongs in the Malibu Stakes as well as at nine furlongs in the Haskell Invitational. He won at distances between five furlongs and 1 1/8 miles and received six triple-digit Beyer Speed Figures, including a 112 career top for a runner-up effort in the Lazaro Barrera Memorial at seven furlongs. Dixie Union's versatility has carried over to his stud career. Among his best progeny are graded sprint winners Hot Dixie Chick and Most Distinguished, and graded route winners Dixie Chatter and Gone Astray.
Dam: Dave in Dixie is a half-brother to Risky Trick, a sprint-winning colt that was stakes-placed in both sprints and routes. Their dam is an unraced half-sister to stakes winners Jonowo and Stolie and Grade 3-placed sprinter Soar. This is the female family of undefeated Alcibiades winner Terra Incognita, Coaching Club American Oaks heroine A Glitter, and two-time Hialeah Turf Cup winner Gleaming.
Outlook: Dave in Dixie should have enough stamina in his bloodlines to handle the distance but he is still a question mark on dirt. His only win came over Del Mar's Polytrack last year.
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